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<title>The Night Writer</title>
<link>http://thenightwriterblog.powerblogs.com/</link>
<description>Illuminating fun, faith, family and foolishness.</description>
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<dc:date>2009-06-15T16:06+00:00</dc:date>
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<item rdf:about="http://thenightwriterblog.powerblogs.com/posts/1245080292.shtml">
<title>Breaking news</title>
<link>http://thenightwriterblog.powerblogs.com/posts/1245080292.shtml</link>
<description>The big news for us is that Faith and Ben finally got back from their honeymoon yesterday. Of course, there are other things going on in the headlines, but it's hard...</description>
<dc:creator>The Night Writer</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2009-06-15T15:06+00:00</dc:date>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[The big news for us is that Faith and Ben finally got back from their honeymoon yesterday. Of course, there are other things going on in the headlines, but it's hard not to see everything in terms of the kids being back. For example, I'm so happy I'm thinking about <a href="http://www.startribune.com/sports/wolves/48038117.html?elr=KArksUUUU">turning over some police cars and setting small trees on fire</a>. Nothing shows the world how happy you are like wanton property damage and abuse of authority, I guess. To follow the lead of the Laker fans I suppose we should have rampaged through our neighborhood immediately after the wedding three weeks ago, but I was just too tired. <br />
<br />
With a couple fewer mouths to feed the last couple of weeks we've had quite a few leftovers piling up in the refrigerator. This, of course, is just another way <a href="http://www.startribune.com/lifestyle/health/47941072.html?elr=KArksUUUU">Americans are killing the planet </a>with our wastrel ways through excess food accumulating in landfills and producing methane gas that's 20 TIMES WORSE THAN CARBON DIOXIDE! I thought the problem for years has been Americans eat too much, leading to an obesity epidemic, now we're criticized for not cleaning our plates? Oh, if only we didn't live in a functioning economy (for the moment) with an effective infrastructure that efficiently and cost-effectively delivers food to us on a daily basis! Don't worry, I'm sure that within a few years the government will take care of this oversight while also mandating how much and what kinds of food we can buy. I mean, once the goverment takes over health care and we still die too expensively it's only logical they <a href="http://michellemalkin.com/2009/06/10/introducing-the-royal-captain-of-calorie-consumption/">regulate consumption </a>for our own good. Or maybe they'll just let the natural results of their policies run their course: whatever flaws the Soviet Union had, they certainly were never known for letting their wasted food pile up into methane-producing heaps. <br />
<br />
Anyway, now that Ben's back there is sure to be fewer left-overs, and the cattle industry can breathe a sigh of relief after demand took a brief dip in June. To be honest, though, I don't know how much our household is actually contributing to the food piles in the landfill. I don't recall ever throwing out any pizza or half a bag of Fritos. Our policy is simply that we will never throw good food away. We merely wrap it and put it in the refrigerator until it becomes bad food, and then we throw it away. <br />
<br />
As for the <a href="http://www.twincities.com/ci_12590718">riots in Iran</a>, I guess they're just upset that Faith and Ben decided not to visit there as part of their world-wide, whirlwind honeymmoon tour. <br />
<br />
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<item rdf:about="http://thenightwriterblog.powerblogs.com/posts/1244596841.shtml">
<title>Postcards from &lt;s>Spain &lt;/s>Socialism</title>
<link>http://thenightwriterblog.powerblogs.com/posts/1244596841.shtml</link>
<description>...</description>
<dc:creator>The Night Writer</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2009-06-10T15:06+00:00</dc:date>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<br />
Along with planning for our trip I'm also trying to get up to speed on the news and politics in Spain before we go over there. The <i>New York Times</i> maintains an on-line news page on the country that is a handy reference. Allow me to excerpt three of the top stories for your consideration; I've bold-faced some words for emphasis, but this post is just snapshots, not analyses. I don't have the time or the historical context to attempt an analyses at this point, but I do have enough intellect and curiosity to file these under, "Things that make you go, 'Hmmmm.'"<br />
<br />
The first article summarizes the <a href="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/news/international/countriesandterritories/spain/index.html?scp=1-spot&sq=Spain&st=cse">March, 2008 electoral victory </a>of the Socialist Party and PM José Luis Zapatero, which was first elected in 2004:<blockquote>Spain’s governing Socialists triumphed in elections held in March 2008, giving Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero a fresh mandate to pursue his agenda of sweeping social, cultural and political liberalization.<br />
<br />
<b>Despite a bitterly fought campaign, the outcome seemed to endorse some of Mr. Zapatero’s boldest decisions, including the withdrawal of Spain’s troops from Iraq, the granting of more autonomy to Spain’s rebellious regions, simplified divorce and the legalization of homosexual marriage.</b><br />
<br />
<div class="trigger" id="shfvs753wa.20">(<a href="#" onClick="document.getElementById('hfvs753wa.20').style.display = 'block'; document.getElementById('shfvs753wa.20').style.display = 'none'; return false;">Read more of the excerpt.</a>)</div><br />
<div class="hidden" style="display: none;" id="hfvs753wa.20"><br />
Mr. Zapatero’s Socialist party defeated the conservative Popular Party in a rematch of the bitter contest four years ago between Mr. Zapatero and Mariano Rajoy, the head of the Popular Party. It was then that Mr. Zapatero was unexpectedly swept into power after Spaniards delivered a message of disapproval and anger to the conservative government.  <div class="trigger">(<a href="#" onClick="document.getElementById('shfvs753wa.20').style.display = 'block';document.getElementById('hfvs753wa.20').style.display = 'none'; return false;">hide</a>)</div> </blockquote>Among the bold decisions includes a head-on conflict with the Catholic Church on abortion. <blockquote><br />
<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/10/world/europe/10iht-spain.html">Spain Steps Into Battle With Itself on Abortion </a><br />
By VICTORIA BURNETT<br />
MADRID — One day last month, Sister María Victoria Vindel gave her 15-year-old students a shockingly graphic lecture on reproductive health: PowerPoint slides of dismembered and disfigured fetuses interspersed with biblical quotations and pictures of a grinning José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero, Spain’s prime minister. <br />
<br />
“They laugh while many innocent children will die,” one of the captions read. The presentation ended with the message, “No to abortion, yes to life!” <br />
<br />
Sister Vindel’s class at Purísima Concepción y Santa María Micaela, a parochial school in Logroño in northern Spain, is the most controversial episode yet in an increasingly contentious debate about Mr. Zapatero’s plans to ease Spain’s restrictive abortion law. <br />
<br />
The class was described by the mother of a student, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because of possible repercussions for her child, and by Inmaculada Ortega, a Socialist lawmaker who spoke to several students and their parents. <br />
<br />
The school, where Sister Vindel is headmistress, refused to comment on the slide show, which appeared to be downloaded from the Internet. The regional government, run by the opposition Popular Party, sent inspectors to the school, a Catholic institution that is financed partly by the state and partly by the parents. <b>The government called the presentation “inappropriate” and said that it could constitute “moral aggression.” </b><br />
<br />
Since he became prime minister in 2004, Mr. Zapatero has pushed an ambitious series of reforms, prying the social fabric of Spain from the centuries-old grip of the Roman Catholic Church. The Socialist government has legalized gay marriage, eased divorce law and expanded the rights of transsexuals. <br />
<br />
<div class="trigger" id="shfvs7a5yz.b8">(<a href="#" onClick="document.getElementById('hfvs7a5yz.b8').style.display = 'block'; document.getElementById('shfvs7a5yz.b8').style.display = 'none'; return false;">Read more of the excerpt.</a>)</div><br />
<div class="hidden" style="display: none;" id="hfvs7a5yz.b8"><br />
Now Mr. Zapatero has ventured onto even more incendiary social terrain, the divide over abortion; and if he was looking for a battle, he found one. As Spain celebrated Holy Week, the clergy rolled out a vigorous protest from pulpits, billboards and the hooded ranks of traditional Easter processions. <br />
<br />
Abortion is technically a crime in Spain, though a law introduced in 1985, 10 years after Franco’s death, permits abortions under certain circumstances. In practice, however, abortions are widely available because doctors cite a mental health exception. <br />
<br />
The current law allows terminations in the first 12 weeks of pregnancy only in cases of rape and in the first 22 weeks in cases of congenital disorder. However, a woman can abort at any time if her mental or physical health is at risk — an exception cited in about 97 percent of abortions in Spain, according to Empar Pineda, spokeswoman for the Spanish Association of Accredited Abortion Clinics.  <br />
<div class="trigger">(<a href="#" onClick="document.getElementById('shfvs7a5yz.b8').style.display = 'block';document.getElementById('hfvs7a5yz.b8').style.display = 'none'; return false;">hide</a>)</div> </blockquote>I'm not up on my history of the Catholic Church's prior relationship with the Socialists or Zapatero, but in Central and South America the Church has been known to support and endorse Socialist uprisings and candidates. I wonder if it has been happy with the resulting social conditions? Something to look into. <br />
<br />
Leaving aside the spiritual, it appears that Zapatero may also have some issues with the temporal:<br />
<br />
<blockquote><a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/21/business/global/21deflate.html">Spain’s Falling Prices Fuel Deflation Fears in Europe </a><br />
By NELSON D. SCHWARTZ<br />
<br />
VALENCIA, Spain — Faced with plunging orders, merchants across this recession-wracked country are starting to do something that many of them have never done: cut retail prices.<br />
<br />
Prices dipped everywhere, from restaurants and fashion retailers to pharmacies and supermarkets in March. Hoping to increase sales, Fernando Maestre reduced prices by a third on the video intercoms his company makes for homes and apartment buildings. But that has not helped, so, along with many other Spanish employers, he is continuing to fire workers. <br />
<br />
<b>The nation’s jobless rate, already a painful 15.5 percent, could soon reach 20 percent, a troubling number for a major industrialized country.</b> (<i>Ya think? Later on the article also includes this stat: The jobless rate for those under 25 is at a Depression-like level of 31.8 percent, the highest among the 27 nations of the European Union. NW)</i><br />
<br />
With the combination of rising unemployment and falling prices, economists fear Spain may be in the early grip of deflation, a hallmark of both the Great Depression and Japan’s lost decade of the 1990s, and a major concern since the financial crisis went global last year. <br />
<br />
Deflation can result in a downward spiral that can be difficult to reverse. As unemployment rises sharply and consumers cut spending, companies cut prices. But if sales do not pick up, then revenue can decline further, forcing more cuts in workers or wages. Mr. Maestre is already contemplating additional job and wage cuts for his 250 employees.<br />
<br />
Nowhere is this cycle more evident than in Spain. Last month, it became the first of the 16 nations that use the euro to record a negative inflation rate. The drop, though just 0.1 percent, had not happened since the government began tracking inflation in 1961, and Spanish officials have said prices could keep dropping through the summer. <br />
<br />
Some of the decline came as volatile food prices sank; the cost of fish fell 6.2 percent, and sugar was down 5.7 percent. But even prices in normally stable sectors like drugs and medical treatments fell 0.7 percent in March, and there were slight declines in footwear, clothing and prices for household electronics. <br />
<br />
“Alarm bells are going off,” said Lorenzo Amor, president of the Association of Autonomous Workers, which represents small businesses and self-employed people. “Economies can recover from deceleration, but it’s harder to recover from a deflationary situation. This could be a catastrophe for the Spanish economy.”</blockquote><br />
I'm sure we'll try our best to stimulate that economy!<br />
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<item rdf:about="http://thenightwriterblog.powerblogs.com/posts/1240950066.shtml">
<title>Pandemic-like symptoms?</title>
<link>http://thenightwriterblog.powerblogs.com/posts/1240950066.shtml</link>
<description>...</description>
<dc:creator>The Night Writer</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2009-04-28T20:04+00:00</dc:date>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<center><img src="/files/thenightwriterblog-remain_calm.jpg" width="281" height="203"  alt=""><blockquote><br />
<i>Greg Marmalard: Remain calm! All is well!<br />
D-Day: Ramming speed!</i><br />
</blockquote></center><br />
Flu pandemics have become kind of a hobby of mine, not out of morbid interest but because I work in an industry that has to anticipate and model the potential impact of such things and also because I'm part of the team at work responsible for coordinating and communicating responses to a campus-wide disruptions such as fire, earthquake, tornados ... or large numbers of employees unable to come to work. As such we get information from groups such as the World Health Organization and from Risk Management Solutions (RMS), a company that does catastrophic risk modeling. <br />
<br />
The information that I am receiving from these very credible sources suggests, coupled with what I know of the avian-flu scare, that there is <i>some </i>reason to be concerned but no reason to lose perspective. I'll share the bad news and good news here, along with a hat-tip to a previous Presidential administration likely to go unmentioned in the media accounts. <br />
<br />
<div class="trigger" id="shfu31k8yi.6a">(<a href="#" onClick="document.getElementById('hfu31k8yi.6a').style.display = 'block'; document.getElementById('shfu31k8yi.6a').style.display = 'none'; return false;">Click here to read the Good News, Bad News and some useful background information.</a>)</div><br />
<div class="hidden" style="display: none;" id="hfu31k8yi.6a"><br />
First some general information that will help the perspective. Pandemics are inevitable. Historically, the world gets one roughly every 30 years. the 1957 Asian Flu (which knocked my mother down while she was pregnant with me) and the 1968 Hong Kong Flu were fairly close together but it's been 40 years since then so we're "due" in actuarial terms. Advances in healthcare, prevention, sanitation, etc. have little to do with preventing an outbreak, though they do help mitigate its effects. The '57 and '68 pandemics "only" killed 2 to 8 million people globally....compared to grand-daddy of all flus, the so-called Spanish Flu of 1918 which killed an estimated 20 to 40 million, including (conservatively) 600,000 in the U.S. The latter pandemics were "milder" not because of better overall health, however, but because they were different strains that attacked in different ways from the Spanish Flu &mdash; a strain identified as H5N1, the same as the bird flu we heard so much about a few years ago. The reason that the Avian Flu, which killed 50 percent of those infected, hasn't spread is because it hasn't mutated into a form communicable human-to-human (those who died received the flu directly from handling poultry). <br />
<br />
All flu viruses &mdash; whether our annual garden-variety flu strains or the most deadly ones &mdash; arise from animals (like birds or pigs); the virus mutates (called antigenetic drift) as it comes into contact with other organisms and spreads by becoming more communicable each time. I don't know how many of these strains never develop to where they can be communicable between humans, but I do know that at least one crosses that evolutionary finish line every year. Generally these are comparatively mild but the potential is always there for a nasty strain. Indications are that this current version (identified as an A/H1N1), while called a Swine Flu, is actually a combo platter of Swine and Avian Flus and of strains already found in humans &mdash; this makes it more communicable, but also means we're likelier to have more natural resistance. <br />
<br />
<b>Good news:</b> <br />
A/H1N1 <i>is not </i>H5N1, nor has it reached pandemic status yet. While people are dying from this (none so far in the U.S.) the early projections, hampered as they are by limited data so far, suggest that if it becomes a pandemic it will a moderate one with a chance to become severe. As <a href="http://www.rms.com/">RMS </a>notes:<blockquote><br />
A typical ratio of actual cases to those hospitalized is likely to be between 2 to 10. This would give a case load estimate of between 3,000 and 16,000 people infected, and would suggest that the virus virulence is between 3.4% and 0.6% Death per Case. As context, the 1918 pandemic had a Death per Case of 2.5%, so when case loads are properly counted this virus could turn out to be as virulent or worse than the 1918, but it is more likely to be of significantly lower virulence. It seems to be considerably more deadly than normal seasonal flu, which has a DpC of around 0.1% but evidently does not have a virulence anywhere near as severe as the H5N1 ‘avian flu’ virus in the outbreak of 2006-07, which had a DpC of over 50%. In general this is likely to be classed as a ‘Low Pathogenicity’ influenza virus.</blockquote><br />
Another positive, according to Tevi Troy in a commentary in today's <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124087436467761251.html#mod=djemEditorialPage">Wall Street Journal</a>, is that concerns about an Avian Flu outbreak as early as 2004 has led to better preparedness today:<br />
<blockquote>Under President Bush, the federal government worked with manufacturers to accelerate vaccine development, stockpiled crucial antivirals like Tamiflu, war-gamed pandemic scenarios with senior officials, and increased the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's (CDC) sample identification capabilities. These activities are bearing fruit today.<br />
<br />
The Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) has already deployed 12.5 million courses of antivirals &mdash; out of a total of 50 million &mdash; to states and local agencies. In addition, CDC's new capacities have allowed Mexican officials to send flu samples to CDC for quick identification, a capability that did not exist a few years ago. Collaboration between the government and the private sector on vaccines &mdash; which Mr. Bush and his HHS team actively encouraged &mdash; could potentially allow manufacturers to shepherd a vaccine to market within four months of identifying the strain and getting the go-ahead from CDC or the World Health Organization.<br />
...<br />
Another issue: Under the Public Readiness and Emergency Preparedness (PREP) Act of 2006, the government has the authority to issue "Prep Act Declarations" granting liability protection to manufacturers whose products were used in public-health emergencies. This helps encourage manufacturers to develop countermeasures. The government issued a series of such declarations in 2007 and 2008. They protected the development and use of influenza vaccines and pandemic antivirals, as well as anthrax, smallpox and botulism products. The Obama administration should consider granting more of them &mdash; if appropriate &mdash; in the weeks ahead.</blockquote><br />
So far it also appears that this strain responds to Tamiflu &mdash; there had been concerns that the next significant flu mutation might be resistant. <br />
<br />
It's also worth noting that early indications are that the Initial Virus Reproductive Number (RO) of this outbreak appears to be low, meaning that the number of people infected by the virus by exposure to someone who has it is containable. While they are still tracing the infectiousness of the cases in Mexico, it is so far thought to be below the 1.5 RO of the typical seasonal flu. While the public's awareness of this flu has increased dramatically in the past few days, reports of the outbreak have been coming in for weeks, suggesting it is containable. <br />
<br />
An RO exceeding 1.8, however, is considered "uncontainable"; the RO of the 1918 pandemic was 2.7, while 1957's was 2.1 and 1968's was 2.0.  <br />
<br />
<b>Bad news</b><br />
It's too early to judge if there's really bad news yet, but most of the deaths so far have been in the young to middle-aged adult population. This is a concern because this is typically the healthiest and most-resistant group to influenza &mdash; and also the group that had the highest mortality in the 1918 outbreak. While infants and the aged typically account for most flu deaths each year, a return of the Avian Flu could turn this expectation on its head. Part of the theory is that this group is less likely to take the initial onset of the attack seriously and simply try to work through it (even bringing it to work with them). By the time they realize they're truly sick they may be irreversibly caught in the spiral of a <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cytokine_storm">cytokine storm </a>where the body's own immune system becomes over-stimulated and actually attacks itself, with death occuring in as little as 48 to 72 hours. If this reaction is part of the viral bundle now being handed out it could get ugly. So far, however, pathology of deaths from this flu are being described as "severe pneumonia" (a common cause of death initiated by the flu) and not indicative of a cytokine storm. This is something that is going to be watched closely, however, as things progress. <br />
<br />
Also at risk, of course, is the economy &mdash; you know, the one that's been so hale and hearty of late. If you recall the effect of the SARS outbreak a few years ago on the Toronto economy &mdash; airports and businesses shut-down, people afraid to leave their homes &mdash; the same thing could happen on a larger scale if this progresses. Currently the WHO is studying whether it should raise the pandemic alert from level 3 to level 4 or 5, which would trigger national pandemic response plans that include travel restrictions, border closures, prohibitions on public gatherings (such as sporting events) and would issue drugs to front-line health responders. <br />
<br />
The US has declared a Public Health Emergency – one step below the implementation of its full pandemic response plan. Many other countries are likely to ramp up their response measures soon.<br />
<br />
More information is available on-line from the <a href="http://www.who.int/en/">World Health Organization</a> and the <a href="http://www.cdc.gov/index.htm">Centers for Disease Control</a>. You can also review the <a href="http://thenightwriterblog.powerblogs.com/avian_flu/">series of posts </a>I did on Avian Flu a few years back as these are still relevant. As I wrote then: by all means, come to your own conclusions. At the least I think you'll find this subject is food for thought - and prayer. <br />
<div class="trigger">(<a href="#" onClick="document.getElementById('shfu31k8yi.6a').style.display = 'block';document.getElementById('hfu31k8yi.6a').style.display = 'none'; return false;">hide</a>)</div></div><br />
<br />
<p class="update"><b class="update">Update:</b> <br />
</p>The WHO has raised the Pandemic Alert to Phase 5 (evidence of of significant human-to-human transmission). Phase 6 is the highest alert and describes a pandemic situation (featuring "efficient and sustained widespread human-to-human transmission). <br />
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<item rdf:about="http://thenightwriterblog.powerblogs.com/posts/1240527206.shtml">
<title>Dumbest idea ever</title>
<link>http://thenightwriterblog.powerblogs.com/posts/1240527206.shtml</link>
<description>Somebody had the brilliant idea to create a game app for the iPhone where the objective is to shake a baby to death, and then Apple thought it was a...</description>
<dc:creator>The Night Writer</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2009-04-23T22:04+00:00</dc:date>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[Somebody had the brilliant idea to create a game app for the iPhone where the objective is to <a href="http://www.twincities.com/ci_12208685">shake a baby to death</a>, and then Apple thought it was a good idea to approve and market it. <br />
<br />
What next, a baby-seal clubbing app? Columbine as a first-person-shooter? Concentration Camp Jenga?<br />
<br />
<center><a href="/files/thenightwriterblog-Fail.jpg"><img src="/files/thenightwriterblog-Fail-small.jpg" width="400" height="280"  alt=""></a><br />
<a href="http://epicfailbook.com/">FAIL</a></center><br />
<br />
It's amazing how quickly a bad idea can get disseminated via today's technology &mdash; and how quickly the smack-down can take place (interesting details of what happened <a href="http://krapps.com/?p=2289">here </a>and <a href="http://krapps.com/?p=2306">here</a>). <br />
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<item rdf:about="http://thenightwriterblog.powerblogs.com/posts/1240461690.shtml">
<title>Have guns that travel - but how many, really?</title>
<link>http://thenightwriterblog.powerblogs.com/posts/1240461690.shtml</link>
<description>...</description>
<dc:creator>The Night Writer</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2009-04-23T04:04+00:00</dc:date>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<br />
The Obama Administration has been saying over and over that 90 percent of the guns recovered from criminals in Mexico come from the U.S. Fox News has reported the actual total is 17 percent. According to an updated FactCheck.org report, however, <b>they are both wrong</b> by a significant margin.<br />
<br />
Both numbers seemed rather far-fetched to me when I first heard them, but the FactCheck report looks like it has a pretty good handle on the facts and methodologies of what is a bit of a convoluted process to calculate. (FactCheck itself admits getting an incorrect answer its first time through). Here's the skinny: <br />
<br />
President Obama and Mexican president Calderon both said 90 percent of the guns recovered by Mexican authorities come from the U.S. SoS Hillary Clinton, Sen. Dick Durbin (D-Ill), Diane Feinstein (D-CA) repeated the figure (using the same teleprompter, perhaps?) and they've been faithfully echoed by the <i>New York Times</i>, <i>The Chicago Tribune</i>, <i>The Christian Science Monitor</i> and NBC who can't afford calculators due to budget cuts. Their error &mdash; deliberate or inadvertent &mdash; is to leave out a few important words. What they should be saying is that 90 percent of guns recovered that the Mexican government <i>submits for tracing</i> can be traced back to the U.S. As Fox and others noted, Mexico only submits a percentage of the guns it recovers for tracing, mainly because most of the guns are untraceable. As FactCheck notes:<blockquote>...Mexican Attorney General Eduardo Medina Mora put the number of recovered crime weapons in the country over the past two years at nearly 29,000, according to USA Today. And figures given by ATF make clear that the agency doesn't trace nearly all of those.<br />
<br />
According to ATF, Mexico submitted 7,743 firearms for tracing in fiscal year 2008 (which ended Oct. 1) and 3,312 guns in fiscal 2007. That adds up to a fraction of the two-year total given by Mexico's attorney general. He may be referring to a slightly different 24-month period, but that can't account for more than a part of the discrepancy. The number is growing, and already this year, Mexico has submitted more than 7,500 guns for tracing, according to ATF. But even if all those guns are added in, the total submitted for tracing since the start of fiscal 2007 doesn't come close to the 29,000 figure that Mexico says it has recovered.</blockquote>While the Administration stumbles over words, Fox &mdash; deliberately or inadvertently &mdash; used the wrong number (based on confusing ATF testimony) to do its math. Fox said only 5,114 of the 29,000 recovered guns came through the U.S. Back to FactCheck:<blockquote>The 5,114 figure is simply wrong. What Newell said quite clearly is that the number of guns submitted to ATF in those two years was 11,055: "3,312 in FY 2007 [and] 7,743 in FY 2008." Newell also testified, as other ATF officials have done, that 90 percent of the guns traced were determined to have come from the U.S. So based on Newell's testimony, the Fox reporters should have used a figure of 9,950 guns from U.S. sources. That figures out to just over <b>34 percent</b> of guns recovered, assuming that the 29,000 figure supplied by Mexico's attorney general is correct.<br />
<br />
Even that number is too low. At our request, an ATF spokesman gave us more detailed figures for how many guns had been submitted and traced during those two years. Of the guns seized in Mexico and given to ATF for tracing, the agency actually found 95 percent came from U.S. sources in fiscal 2007 and 93 percent in fiscal 2008. That comes to a total of 10,347 guns from U.S. sources for those two years, or <b>36 percent</b> of what Mexican authorities say they recovered.</blockquote> Ok, 34-36 percent isn't exactly a small number (unless you compare it to 90 percent). As other bloggers have noted, most of the guns used in Mexico are fully-automatic weapons which are not readily available in the U.S. but can be purchased, stolen or donated by other entities throughout Central and South America. Not that a shade-tree armorer couldn't convert a U.S. semi-automatic AR-15 to automatic, but the drug gangs and cartels do have other options. <br />
<br />
While it would be very nice if these guns didn't cross the border (and kept prices down domestically) and some might say even 34 percent is horrific when innocent by-standers are being killed, the purchases are being made by criminals to use on other criminals.  The Administration's 90 percent chorus, however, seems like part of a plan to further complicate (if not outlaw) legal gun transactions for law-abiding citizens in the U.S. <br />
<br />
Now that the numbers have been brought together and the math is out there it will be interesting to see if the Administration and Fox (and others) continue to use their incorrect numbers going forward, or if any other media will bother to do the math as part of the responsibility of a free press. Whatever numbers you see being used next will tell you a lot about the person or organization using them.<br />
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<item rdf:about="http://thenightwriterblog.powerblogs.com/posts/1239734568.shtml">
<title>Return of the pirate (post) </title>
<link>http://thenightwriterblog.powerblogs.com/posts/1239734568.shtml</link>
<description>...</description>
<dc:creator>The Night Writer</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2009-04-14T18:04+00:00</dc:date>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<br />
The adventures of pirates have been much in the news in recent months, and it has nothing to do with Johnny Depp or box-office hits. Whether it's hijacking of a ship loaded with Russian tanks, to the latest misadventure with an American-flagged cargo ship, pirates are becoming good copy. One might be tempted to think this is a relatively new threat but in fact it is one that has never really gone away, as I pointed out in a post back in November of 2005. It's relevant to our current overnight sensation news stories, so I'm re-running it now. All of the links below are still current. The StarTribune article referenced in the first graf is no longer available, however. <br />
<blockquote><br />
<b>Yo-ho and avast, there still be pirates — and why you might care</b><br />
<br />
I saw an article today in the StarTribune, <i>Miami-based Cruise Ship Attacked by Pirates off Somalia</i>, and it reminded me of a book I read last year by John S. Burnett entitled <a href="http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detail/-/0525946799/qid=1131235277/sr=2-2/ref=pd_bbs_b_2_2/104-3534999-2175124?v=glance&s=books">Dangerous Waters</a>.<br />
<br />
It's an excellent and eye-opening read about a subject most people think has become quaint: high seas piracy. Burnett was motivated to research and write the book after his own small boat was boarded and robbed. While you won't find much in the way of masted ships flying the Jolly Roger looking for easy pickings today, the reality is that the basics of piracy in the 17th century and today are still in place: slow-moving, lightly-guarded ships loaded with valuable cargo in international waters with little controlling authority — and a large, international pool of people greedy enough, or desperate enough, that have access to fast boats and weaponry and little fear of being caught. In fact, about all that's changed is the technology. Galleons have been replaced by high-speed boats; cannons replaced with rocket-propelled grenades; cutlasses with Uzis. <br />
<br />
While this (literally) cut-throat business has never really gone away, even in the age of high-tech navies, it is mostly invisible because it doesn't affect our lives in many noticeable ways. As Burnett points out, however, piracy today can easily lead to a serious and confounding global problem. <br />
<br />
One of the most pirate-infested areas today is the <a href="http://www.geocities.com/uksteve.geo/canal6.html">Malacca Straits</a>. While the location might not be as colorful-sounding as, say, the Caribbean and you might be a little vague on the geography, the Malacca Straits are a very important little body of water. They link the Indian and Pacific Oceans and are the shortest sea route between India, China and Indonesia. They are filled with shallow reefs and tiny islands and there are only narrow channels available for the nearly 1000 ships - mostly cargo ships and oil tankers - that pass through each day like slow, fat fish in a barrel. Heavy traffic in narrow confines makes for relatively easy pickings for pirates in "smash and grab" types of raids (board, loot any crew and passengers, take electronics and other valuables from the bridge and beat it to a nearby hideout or fishing village). Sometimes, however, this results in tanker or cargo crews being tied up and their ships left to plow on out of control through a highly congested area. It doesn't take much imagination to think of the effects that a grounding or sinking of a tanker in this area could have on this vital commercial thoroughfare. Here's some of what the above link about the straits has to say: <blockquote><i>The narrowest point of this shipping lane is the Phillips Channel in the Singapore Strait, which is only 1.5 miles wide at its narrowest point. This creates a natural bottleneck, with the potential for a collision, grounding, or oil spill (in addition, piracy has historically been a regular occurrence in the Singapore Strait, but over the past 15 years has grown alarmingly). Some 400 shipping lines and 700 ports worldwide rely on the Malacca and Singapore straits to get to the Singapore port. For example, 80% of Japan's oil comes from the Middle East via the Malacca Straits. To skip the straits would force a ship to travel an extra 994 miles from the Gulf. All excess capacity of the world fleet might be absorbed, with the effect strongest for crude oil shipments and dry bulk such as coal. Closure of the Strait of Malacca would immediately raise freight rates worldwide. With Chinese oil imports from the Middle East increasing steadily, the Strait of Malacca is likely to grow in strategic importance in coming years.</i> </blockquote>Whether through criminal accident or premeditated terrorism (elements of Abu Sayaff and Al Quaida are active in this area), it may be just a matter of time before such an incident fills headlines around the world. <br />
<br />
It's not an unknown threat to people who's business it is to be concerned with these things, Burnett's book and others (see below) does a good job of describing the efforts cargo and passenger lines, governments and military forces are making to mitigate the problem while also describing the bureaucratic, political and logistical hurdles they face. <br />
<br />
All in all, today's news story (selected by the Strib perhaps because it was so unusual sounding) highlights an issue we often overlook. If you're intrigued by this information, <i>Dangerous Waters </i>is a sobering but very interesting read. You might also find the following related books suggested by Amazon of interest: <br />
<br />
<a href="http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detail/-/1557503281/ref=pd_sim_b_3/104-3534999-2175124?%5Fencoding=UTF8&v=glance">Jolly Roger With an Uzi: The Rise and Threat of Modern Piracy </a>by Jack A. Gottschalk<br />
<br />
<a href="http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detail/-/1574091654/ref=pd_sim_b_6/104-3534999-2175124?%5Fencoding=UTF8&v=glance">Pirates Aboard!: Forty Cases of Piracy Today and What Bluewater Cruisers Can Do About It</a> by Klaus Hympendahl<br />
<br />
<a href="http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detail/-/1581600151/ref=pd_sim_b_1/104-3534999-2175124?%5Fencoding=UTF8&v=glance">Maritime Terror: Protecting Your Vessel and Your Crew Against Piracy</a> by Jim Gray<br />
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<item rdf:about="http://thenightwriterblog.powerblogs.com/posts/1239589982.shtml">
<title>Tickle Me Ammo? Bullets scarce as demand shoots up</title>
<link>http://thenightwriterblog.powerblogs.com/posts/1239589982.shtml</link>
<description>...</description>
<dc:creator>The Night Writer</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2009-04-13T06:04+00:00</dc:date>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<BR />
Praise the Lord and pass the ammunition as it appears the only way to get bullets now and for the forseeable future is by divine intervention. I won't get into what caliber gun Jesus would use (though He did say, "Blessed are the Peacemakers," which, coincidentally, use the same bullets that I'm trying to find) but right now there is a national supply and demand issue on a scale of trying to feed the multitude with a few loaves and fishes &mdash; and the baguettes are on backorder. <BR />
<BR />
Anyone who has tried to purchase handgun ammunition recently has found the shelves bare and on-line retailers embarrassed. This isn't a case of direct government or retailer-induced artificial scarcity that typically drives most commercial shortages, though the perceived threat of government involvement appears to be a significant factor in consumer reaction, as the Utah <a href="http://www.standard.net/live/news/169483/">Standard-Examiner</a>reports: <blockquote><b>Ammo in short supply; Dem takeover gets blame</b><BR />
OGDEN -- With firearm dealers struggling to keep ammunition on their shelves, it seems the gun and ammunition business has been stimulated in a way few people expected.<BR />
<BR />
The minute Barack Obama stepped into the White House, people scrambled to gun stores to buy as much ammunition as they could get their hands on. Now, there's a shortage of ammunition all over the country as demand is three times the supply.<BR />
<BR />
"It's been a huge topic since the election," said Mike Casey, vice president of Smith & Edwards in Farr West.<BR />
<BR />
"Ammunition is hard to come by, and the demand isn't getting smaller. Even with production increases, it is extremely difficult to get ammo."<BR />
<BR />
Casey has been out of several calibers of ammunition for more than six weeks now, with no expected date of delivery.</blockquote>The run on ammo is one effect of an increase in gun sales, or would-be gun sales:<BR />
<blockquote>From Jan. 1 through the end of March, 63,348 people in Utah have gotten the background check necessary for obtaining a firearm, according to data on an FBI Web site.<BR />
<BR />
In the past 10 years, the state has averaged 90,000 people a year getting those background checks. If this year continues at the same rate as its first three months, Utah would have nearly met its yearly average of background checks by the end of April.</blockquote>New gun owners naturally need bullets, and existing gun owners don't want to be caught short. As a result (emphasis mine), <blockquote>One manufacturer, Winchester, has back orders for <b>200 million rounds </b>of .45-caliber bullets.<BR />
<BR />
The company's machines produce <b>1.6 million rounds a day</b>, which puts them more than 120 days behind.<BR />
</blockquote> It's hard to imagine there's a need for 200 million rounds of .45 caliber in the general public. Shoot, I'd be happy if I could get another 50 or 100 rounds before my CCW proficiency test, but I'm told repeatedly that September or October is the earliest to expect re-supply. And I can just about forget about loading my own as well. <blockquote>And it's getting tougher to make your own bullets, too. Reloading supplies sell out nearly as fast as they hit stores, Spencer said.<BR />
<BR />
Recently, Kent Shooters Supply received a shipment of 80 pounds of gunpowder. That amount, typically a six-month supply for the store, was sold in three days.<BR />
<BR />
"It's crazy. The guy in the past who bought a pound of powder is now buying all I have on the counter," Spencer said.</blockquote>The situation is nationwide, not just in Utah as other recent stories from <a href="http://www.fox6now.com/news/witi-090330-ammo-shortage,0,1538308.story">Milwaukee</a>, <a href="http://www.mcclatchydc.com/328/story/64136.html">Kansas</a>, <a href="http://www.tricities.com/tri/news/local/article/ammunition_in_short_supply/21644/">Virginia</a>, <a href="http://lonestartexasnews.com/pages/4057377.php?contentType=4&contentId=3702933">Texas</a>, <a href="http://www.kfsm.com/news/kfsm-news-fort-smith-ammunition-shells-shortage,0,7488935.story">Arkansas</a> and <a href="http://www.chicoer.com/news/ci_12126123">California</a> show. <BR />
<BR />
Another source I visited reported that the <a href="http://www.fbi.gov/hq/cjisd/nics.htm">FBI's National Instant Criminal Background Check System (NICS)</a> shows that background checks on the sale of firearms jumped 23.3 percent in February when compared to February 2008. The increase follows a 29 percent rise in January, a 24 percent rise in December and a 42 percent jump in November, when a record 1,529,635 background checks were performed. I checked the NICS site myself to verify this, but couldn't find that data despite checking several categories and trying different word searches. However, I did eventually come across <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/pressRelease/idUS199439+07-Jan-2009+PRN20090107">this article </a>which verified the November and December numbers. Perhaps someone wiser in the ways of dealing with government opacity can find the relevant data for the first quarter of this year. <BR />
<BR />
Judging by this type of activity it only seems natural to suggest that if <a href="http://www.eckernet.com/2009/04/nra_announces_its_yearly_awards.html">President Obama</a> and Congress want to save the U.S. auto industry all they have to do is threaten to ban SUVs. <BR />
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<item rdf:about="http://thenightwriterblog.powerblogs.com/posts/1231050534.shtml">
<title>Aren't you dead yet?</title>
<link>http://thenightwriterblog.powerblogs.com/posts/1231050534.shtml</link>
<description>I first saw this article and threw it into my drafts folder about a month ago and forgot about it. A little spring cleaning, however, brings you this snippet from the...</description>
<dc:creator>The Night Writer</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2009-04-06T16:04+00:00</dc:date>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[I first saw this article and threw it into my drafts folder about a month ago and forgot about it. A little spring cleaning, however, brings you this snippet from the <a href="http://llamabutchers.mu.nu/archives/283870.php">Llama Butchers</a>: <br />
<blockquote><br />
<b>Senator Warner wants to start a "discussion" about end-of-life issues</b><br />
<i>From The Virginian Pilot. Make no mistake about where this is headed: first it will be just ensuring that everyone has "information," next it will be voluntary "guidelines," and then the "guidelines" will no longer be voluntary. Translation: your friendly federal government wants to decide when to pull the plug--because it knows best</i></blockquote><br />
Here's <a href="http://hamptonroads.com/2009/03/sen-warner-calls-discussion-endoflife-treatment">the article </a>in question: <blockquote><br />
<b>Sen. Warner calls for discussion of end-of-life treatment</b><br />
By Dale Eisman<br />
The Virginian-Pilot<br />
© March 6, 2009 <br />
WASHINGTON<br />
<br />
Two months into his term, U.S. Sen. Mark Warner has marched into the policy thicket that is health-care reform, urging a national discussion on the touchy question of how best to treat terminally ill people.<br />
<br />
In a speech to hospital executives this week, Warner called for intensified efforts to educate individuals and families in advance about end-of-life care. With better information, many people would forgo expensive and almost-always-futile treatment for patients near death, he said.<br />
<br />
Such measures account for more than one-fourth of Medicare payments and 10 to 12 percent of all health costs, studies suggest.<br />
<br />
"We leave it to families to resolve these extraordinarily difficult decisions with little guidance," Warner said. <b>"Other industrialized nations have dealt with the end-of-life issue. It's time we did as well."</b></blockquote><br />
I've written here several times about <i>just how </i>other countries deal with end-of-life issues &mdash; and how nationalized medicine essentially leads to rationing of healthcare because of the high costs. Typically the very young and the very old are most at risk of being deemed a drain on the country if the costs of their care get too high &mdash; and then the Nanny State turns into the Bully State. <blockquote><br />
<a href="http://thenightwriterblog.powerblogs.com/posts/1123471130.shtml">21st Century British Healthcare (Terminally Ill Can Be Starved to Death, UK Court Rules)</a> <i>(featuring an assist from Monty Python)</i><br />
<br />
<a href="http://thenightwriterblog.powerblogs.com/posts/1114398780.shtml">Charlotte's Web: When the State Decides if Your Baby Shall Live or Die</a><br />
<br />
<a href="http://thenightwriterblog.powerblogs.com/posts/1141070505.shtml">An update on Charlotte Wyatt ... and the state of socialized medicine</a><br />
<br />
<a href="http://thenightwriterblog.powerblogs.com/posts/1209503921.shtml">Scottish seniors aren't dead yet: the rising cost of "free" healthcare</a></blockquote><br />
I think I'll go for a walk.<br />
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<item rdf:about="http://thenightwriterblog.powerblogs.com/posts/1238561128.shtml">
<title>Learn the lessons</title>
<link>http://thenightwriterblog.powerblogs.com/posts/1238561128.shtml</link>
<description>Update:...</description>
<dc:creator>The Night Writer</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2009-04-01T04:04+00:00</dc:date>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="update"><b class="update">Update:</b> <br />
</p><b>The real issue here isn't what the parents believe, it is whether they or the State have the right and the responsibility to determine the best education for their children. This is fundamental, whether the State is totalitarian, benevolent or a right-wing theocracy. How would people react if their children were required <i>by law </i>to go to the latter? Will some parents fail spectacularly at this? <i>Of course</i>. And so do many schools. Yet the principles of liberty and freedom must be vigorously and vigilantly defended at every point, especially within the family. <br />
<br />
We are better served by honoring and defending the rights of the individual than we are promoting the authority of the State. I learned that in school, once, a long time ago.</b><br />
<br />
On the heels of an article in the St. Paul paper this week about the <a href="http://www.twincities.com/ci_12014831?IADID=Search-www.twincities.com-www.twincities.com">surge in homeschooling in the U.S.</a>, I read an article today about a <a href="http://www.tennessean.com/article/20090331/NEWS0401/90331009/-1/rss05">German family seeking political asylum</a> in Tennessee so that they can homeschool their children. <br />
<blockquote><br />
MORRISTOWN, Tenn. &mdash; Homeschooling is so important to Uwe Romeike that the classically trained pianist sold his beloved grand pianos to pay for moving his wife and five children from Germany to the Smoky Mountain foothills of Tennessee.<br />
<br />
Romeike, his wife, Hannelore, and their children live in a modest duplex about 40 miles northeast of Knoxville while they seek political asylum here. They say they were persecuted for their evangelical Christian beliefs and homeschooling their children in Germany, where state school attendance is compulsory.<br />
<br />
When the Romeikes wouldn't comply with repeated orders to send the children to school, police came to their home one October morning in 2006 and took the children, crying and upset, to school.<br />
<br />
"We tried not to open the door, but they (police) kept ringing the doorbell for 15 or 20 minutes," Romeike said. "They called us by phone and spoke on the answering machine and said they would knock open the door if we didn't open it. So I opened it."<br />
</blockquote><br />
The Romeike's case may sound extreme, but the fact is Germany is adamantly anti-home education, as I've reported in this blog on a couple of occasions. The first time was in November of 2006 in a post entitled <a href="http://thenightwriterblog.powerblogs.com/posts/1162509201.shtml">Ve haf vays...</a><br />
<blockquote><br />
<a href="http://www.stonescryout.org/archives/2006/10/german_homescho.html">Stones Cry Out</a> excerpted a story last week about German police forcibly delivering home-schooled children to the local state schools.<blockquote><br />
<i>A Nazi-era law requiring all children to attend public school, to avoid "the emergence of parallel societies based on separate philosophical convictions" that could be taught by parents at home, apparently is triggering a Nazi-like response from police.<br />
<br />
    The word comes from Netzwerk Bildungsfreiheit, or Network for Freedom in Education, which confirmed that children in a family in Bissingen, in the state of Baden-Wuerttemberg, have been forcibly hauled to a public school.<br />
<br />
    "On Friday 20 October 2006 at around 7:30 a.m. the children of a home educating family ... were brought under duress to school by police," the organization, which describes itself as politically and religiously neutral, confirmed.<br />
<br />
    A separate weblog in the United States noted the same tragedy.<br />
<br />
    Homeschoolblogger.com noted that the "three children were picked up by the police and escorted to school in Baden-Wurttemberg, with the 'promise' that it would happen again this week."<br />
<br />
    The Network for Freedom in Education, through spokesman Joerg Grosseluemern, said the Remeike family has been "home educating their children since the start of the school year, something which is legal in practically the whole of the (European Union)."</i></blockquote><br />
It kind of makes you wonder about a government that's afraid of what parents might teach their children...or that believes it is the rightful parent of the nation. Perhaps they've read their William Ross Wallace and know that "the hand that rocks the cradle is the hand that rules the world," and they find that discomforting. I'm also amazed that this "Nazi-era" law is still on the books in Germany; it is all <i>für der Kinder</i>, no doubt.<br />
<br />
This all reminds me of how the roots of the U.S. education system go deep into the Prussian model of the early 20th century (believe me, we got more than just "kindergarten" from this influence). I had started digging into this topic for a post a long time ago and got sidetracked; it might be time to resurrect this effort. For now, at least, we can appreciate that our money is the only thing the state forcibly takes from our homes and sends to public school.<br />
</blockquote><br />
Like the Pilgrims before them, the Romeikes came to America seeking religious freedom (not freedom from religion) and to live their lives free of government interference. Good thing for them they came to Tennessee, though, and not California where the education unions and courts march in goose-step together, as I wrote about here <a href="http://thenightwriterblog.powerblogs.com/posts/1204905819.shtml">last March</a>... <br />
<blockquote><br />
More compelling was one judge's written opinion:<br />
    <blockquote><i>"California courts have held that ... parents do not have a constitutional right to home-school their children," Justice H. Walter Croskey said in the 3-0 ruling issued on Feb. 28. "Parents have a legal duty to see to their children's schooling under the provisions of these laws."<br />
<br />
    Parents can be criminally prosecuted for failing to comply, Croskey said.</i></blockquote><br />
The ruling sent shock waves throughout the estimated 166,000 home-educators in California as well as through the California legislature and even Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger, who said, "Every California child deserves a quality education, and parents should have the right to decide what's best for their children. Parents should not be penalized for acting in the best interests of their children's education. This outrageous ruling must be overturned by the courts, and, if the courts don't protect parents' rights, then, as elected officials, we will." Interestingly enough, Schwarzenegger's signing of SB777 last year may be one of the things that have led many parents to abandon the public schools. Give the Governator credit though; he may not be great at logic but he definitely knows how to count votes and probably realizes that whatever other political beliefs a homeschooling family may have, telling them that they have no right to educate their own children trumps them all.<br />
<br />
Personally, I'm not shocked. California has long been the most overtly hostile state toward home-educators (ironically it's own school system struggles to place a certified teacher in every classroom, yet would seek to mandate it in every home-school). Similarly, Education Minnesota has no love lost for home-educators and my hunch is that they wouldn't mind if their pet DFL pupils in the Minnesota legislature were to bring them a similar bill as if it were a bright, shiny apple.<br />
<br />
Of course, <b>it takes a real socialist mentality</b> to proclaim that the State is the rightful owner of your children, as I've documented before regarding events in England and Germany. The Germans, in fact, are still embracing the 1937 law instituted by a certain mustachioed megalomaniac that mandates compulsory state school educations. Seventy years later they're still enforcing it by forcibly taking kids from their homes to school in police cars or even removing children from their parents' homes and hiding them in psychiatric hospitals for evaluation.</blockquote><br />
Maybe the Germans have this thing about control, but surely a liberal democracy and member of the European Union would have respect for things like rights and constitutions, right? After all, the Charter of Fundamental Rights of the European Union declares that "the State shall respect the right of parents to ensure education and teaching is in conformity with their own religious and philosophical convictions". Yet according to the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Homeschooling_in_Germany">entry in Wikipedia</a> where I got that quote:<br />
<blockquote><br />
Homeschooling in Germany is illegal with rare exceptions. The requirement to attend school has been upheld, on challenge from parents, by the Federal Constitutional Court of Germany. Parents violating the law have most prominently included devout Christians who want to give their children a more Christian education than what is offered by the schools. Penalties against these parents have included fines (around €5,000), successful legal actions to take away the parents' custody of their children, and jail time for the parents.[1]<br />
<br />
In a landmark legal case commenced in 2003 at the European Court of Human Rights a homeschooling parent couple argued on behalf of their children that Germany's compulsory school attendance endangered their children’s religious upbringing, promoted teaching inconsistent with their Christian faith &mdash; especially the German State's mandates relating to sex education in the schools &mdash; and contravened the declaration in the Charter of Fundamental Rights of the European Union that "the State shall respect the right of parents to ensure education and teaching is in conformity with their own religious and philosophical convictions". <b>In September 2006 the European Court of Human Rights upheld the German ban on homeschooling, stating "parents may not refuse ...[compulsory schooling] on the basis of their convictions",</b> and adding that the right to education "calls for regulation by the State". The European Court took the position that the plaintiffs were the children, not their parents, and declared "children are unable to foresee the consequences of their parents' decision for home education because of their young age.... Schools represent society, and it is in the children’s interest to become part of that society. The parents' right to educate does not go as far as to deprive their children of that experience." The European Court endorsed a "carefully reasoned" decision of the German court concerning "the general interest of society to avoid the emergence of parallel societies based on separate philosophical convictions and the importance of integrating minorities into society."</blockquote><br />
Good luck to the Romeikes. I know from first-hand experience that the U.S. immigration and asylum courts can be very difficult. My hope for the family, and for the U.S., is that we all will enjoy prolonged freedom. Freedom requires vigilance and conviction, even to the point of risking conviction, and I hope the examples of Germany and &mdash; closer to home &mdash; California, are educational. <br />
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<item rdf:about="http://thenightwriterblog.powerblogs.com/posts/1238130349.shtml">
<title>Inheritance taxes</title>
<link>http://thenightwriterblog.powerblogs.com/posts/1238130349.shtml</link>
<description>A few years ago when home values were soaring my wife and I refinanced our house, taking out some equity to remodel part of our main floor while locking in a...</description>
<dc:creator>The Night Writer</dc:creator>
<dc:date>2009-03-27T05:03+00:00</dc:date>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[A few years ago when home values were soaring my wife and I refinanced our house, taking out some equity to remodel part of our main floor while locking in a sub-5% fixed rate, 15-year mortgage (we hate paying interest). This was back in the day when you could finance 125 percent of your equity. The amount we needed was substantially less than this, and our loan officer kept trying to interest us in borrowing more. My wife wasn't having any of it (I think this might have been the same loan officer who gushed that our credit score "walks on water"). Frankly, it kind of creeped us out to think about taking on all this extra debt simply because we could, especially for intangibles such as travel or ephermerals that depreciate quickly, such as new cars (both of which were examples of things the loan officer suggested we could spend the extra cash on). Fortunately for us, our instincts were correct. <br />
<br />
I think most people have an built-in sense, or skepticism, for those "too good to be true" deals, even if we eventually decide that the deal is "too good to pass up." Then, like the prize trout being reeled in we say, "I knew there was a catch!" It's hard to resist, though, when the rest of the school is jumping in the boat on their own. Most of us have the scars on our lips to show for it. <br />
<br />
I think that's why so many people are feeling more than a little queasy about the direction of the economy and the proposed borrowing our way to prosperity budget offered by President Obama. How does it make sense that, if we're in a crisis caused by unchecked borrowing, even more borrowing will get us out? And who are we borrowing from, and what's the vig? Having learned a few things the hard way we tend to push back a little when the salesman says "you've got act by midnight tonight!" At the same time we really <i>want </i>to believe that things aren't really so bad, and it will all work out in the long-run, because to believe otherwise calls into questions all those nice little assumptions that allow us to sleep at night. So when the salesman try to allay our concerns with testimonials "Four out of five socialists prefer..." or say that this the "new and improved deficit, now with less rich people" we kind of say, "What the heck, and, you know, I think my next diet will be the one that works, too!" <br />
<br />
"Besides," the salesman says, "It's really not my deficit...I inherited it!" So then we think, "Well, yeah, we've always had deficits, Winston, so what's a little more?" If the Bush administration left us with the equivlent of a budget hangover, perhas a little hair of the dog makes sense. A picture, as they say, is worth a thousand words &mdash; and likely a few trillion dollars as well. <br />
<br />
As the <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/graphic/2009/03/21/GR2009032100104.html">Washington Post</a> illustrated the other day:<br />
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<center><img src="/files/thenightwriterblog-wapoobamabudget1.jpg" width="400" height="330"  alt=""><br />
<i>SOURCE: CBO, White House Office of Management and Budget | The Washington Post - March 21, 2009</i></center><br />
<br />
That's not the Republicans providing that chart, or The Center for the American Experiment, or even Joe the Plumber; it's the Washington Post, using numbers from both the President's office and the ostensibly non-partisan Congressional Budget Office. As sickening as the Bush fiscal record is (and yes, the numbers above do include money spent on Iraq and Afganistan), the current administration plans to take a case of the flu and turn it into Ebola. <br />
<br />
As the Heritage Foundation's Brian Riedl <a href="http://blog.heritage.org/2009/03/24/bush-deficit-vs-obama-deficit-in-pictures/">points out</a>: <blockquote><ul><br />
    <li>President Bush expanded the federal budget by a historic $700 billion through 2008. <a href="http://www.heritage.org/Research/Taxes/wm1829.cfm">President Obama would add another $1 trillion</a>.<br />
 <br />
<li>President Bush began a string of expensive finan­cial bailouts. <a href="http://www.heritage.org/Research/Budget/bg2249.cfm#_ftnref4">President Obama is accelerating that course.</a> </li><br />
<br />
    <li>President Bush created a Medicare drug entitle­ment that will cost an estimated $800 billion in its first decade. <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2009/POLITICS/02/25/budget.healthcare/">President Obama has proposed a $634 billion down payment on a new govern­ment health care fund.</a> </li><br />
<br />
    <li>President Bush increased federal education spending 58 percent faster than inflation. <a href="http://www.heritage.org/Research/Budget/bg2249.cfm#_ftnref5">Presi­dent Obama would double it.</a> </li><br />
<br />
    <li>President Bush became the first President to spend 3 percent of GDP on federal antipoverty programs. <a href="http://www.heritage.org/Research/Economy/wm2276.cfm">President Obama has already in­creased this spending by 20 percent. </a></li><br />
<br />
    <li>President Bush tilted the income tax burden more toward upper-income taxpayers. <a href="http://www.heritage.org/Research/Budget/bg2249.cfm#_ftnref7">President Obama would continue that trend.</a> </li><br />
<br />
<li>President Bush presided over a $2.5 trillion increase in the public debt through 2008. Setting aside 2009 (for which Presidents Bush and Obama share responsibility for an additional $2.6 trillion in public debt), <a href="http://www.heritage.org/Research/Budget/bg2249.cfm#_ftnref14">President Obama’s budget would add $4.9 trillion in public debt from the beginning of 2010 through 2016.</a> </li><br />
</ul><br />
</blockquote><br />
Perhaps someone can graph this for me: now that it's been established that when America sneezes, the rest of the world catches cold, how long before the UN decides that our economy is too important to be left in the hands of Americans and requires global oversight? <br />
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HT: <a href="http://bogusgold.powerblogs.com/posts/1238001656.shtml">Bogus Gold</a>.<br />
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